THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS
8 Friday, December 28, 1919
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Scorpion and Frog Story Analogy for Connally Plan
(Continued from Page 1)
rael's superb air force on
which the Pentagon relies
to provide air cover for the
Sixth Fleet, and which
makes Soviet planners
think twice about direct
military intervention in the
area.
A warning by Israel pre-
vented a Syrian invasion of
Jordan several years ago.
Similar considerations now
prevent Syria from complet-
ing its occupation of Leba-
non, and provide the
Lebanese Christians with
their only security. Israeli
intelligence alerted Sadat
in 1977 to a coup, and in
1978 warned us of the real
situation in Iran (its warn-
ings went unheeded).
To call for an increased
American military presence
in the Middle East, as Con-
nally does, and to simul-
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taneously demand that we
weaken our already exist-
ing military asset in the
area, is at least paradoxical.
Should Israel be squeezed
back into the 1949 armistice
lines (which even Sadat
called "ridiculous in the
eyes of any man who looks
at the world map") her abil-
ity to help us would be se-
verely diminshed, for-she
would be kept busy defend-
ing herself.
It is clear that the
Soviet Union under-
stands perfectly the
strategic importance of
Israel. The Soviets have
spent over three-
quarters of their total
military and economic
aid on Israel's most im-
placable enemies, sup-
plying them not only with
Katyushas and
Kalashnikovs, but also
with tanks and planes
and missiles so advanced
that none of its Warsaw
Pact allies has yet ac-
quired them. She
encouraged the Arabs in
1967 and actively sup-
ported preparations for
the 1973 war, maintain-
ing Soviet advisers at Sy-
rian military headquar-
ters and on the Golan
during that war.
Indeed, the Soviet Union
assiduously courts, trains,
and promotes the PLO, un-
doubtedly because she in-
tends to use the PLO, in fact
is already using it, as a sur-
rogate force. Such aid and
active involvement by the
Soviets goes far beyond
what is necessary to prove
itself the champion of the
Arabs. Obviously Soviet
strategists appreciate — as
Connally does not—Israel's
ability to interdict Soviet
air and sea power in the
eastern Mediterranean, the
Red Sea and Suez.
Connally's suggested
bases in Oman and Sinai
could only supplement,
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never replace, the essential
military power of Israel.
Such bases, furthermore,
would depend not only on
American poiltics but also
on their continued ac-
ceptance by inherently un-
stable or fickle regimes.
Connally should re-
member how unceremoni-
ously Qaddafi sent all the
Americans packing from
our SAC base in Libya when
King Idris was deposed; or
what happened to our lis-
tening posts in Ethiopia
when the Dergue replaced
Emperor Selassie; how even
pro-Western King Hassan
thought it prudent to close
American bases in Morocco,
or what happened just a few
months ago to our bases in
Iran. And he can guess the
fate of our bases in Turkey.
As British writer Pat-
rick Cosgrave has ob-
served, "the fundamental
consideration in Middle
Eastern politics is the
centrality of Israeli
power to the security of
the West." For opposing
the Soviet with a force
possessing the necessary
mobility, technological
sophistication and
strength, there is no sub-
stitute for Israel.
Security of our oil supply
from the Gulf also depends
on the stability of the local
regimes. The press that
once wrote rapturously of
"modern, bustling, stable"
Iran now extolds Saudi
Arabia as a steady friend of
the West. But such meticul-
ous Arabists as Kelly in
England and Hottinger in
Switzerland have written
convincingly in recent
months about the extreme
fragility of the Saudi re-
gime.
Connally would do well to
compare their observations
with the gush of petro-Arab
propaganda. An Israel re-
duced to indefensible bor-
ders may please these re-
gimes, but will not make
their family despotisms any
more stable or secure.
No doubt Saudi Arabia
would like us to help
weaken Israel so that the
Arabs could look forward to
a repeat performance of
Knesset OKs
Abortion Bill
JERUSALEM (JTA) —
The controversial Aguda-
inspired amendment to the
abortion law entered the
statute book Tuesday when
the Knesset voted it
through its second and third
readings.
The amendment was car-
ried by a 55-50 majority,
with two absentions (Assaf
Yaguri — newly joined
Likud member, and Akiva
Nof of the DM).
The amendment abro-
gates clause five of the
law, which permitted
abortions on socio-
economic grounds.
Agudat Israel had
threatened to pull out of the
coalition if the amendment
was not carried. The
amendment was part of the
coalition agreement be-
tween Likud and Aguda.
1948, or 1967, or 1973, this
time with the desired re-
sults. Despite soothing
words, most Arabs have not
abandoned the aim of
eliminating Israel from
what they regard as one
homogeneous "Arab Na-
tion" stretching from the
Atlantic Ocean to the Per-
sian Gulf (or even beyond, if
the ethnic Arabs of Iran
begin to demand "the
legitimate rights of the
Khuzistartian people").
In this scheme of
things, none of the many
non-Arab or non-Muslim
peoples (Christians,
Jews, Kurds, Copts,
Druse, Berbers,
Sudanese blacks, Chal-
deans, etc.) would have
equal rights with the
Muslim Arabs, or any de-
gree of autonomy, much
less a state of their own.
Yet the Saudis and other
Arabs claim that
America must weaken Is-
rael while assuring their
own security.
But the United States
cannot afford this petro-
Arab view of "American
interests." If Israel were
further diminished, our
task in securing the region
would become infinitely
harder and impossibly more
expensive.
The Arabs must realize
that the menace to them,
and to us, is Soviet im-
perialism. They will have to
learn to live with an Israel
that can defend itself, and
help us, not exist on suffer-
ance and "guarantees."
There is nothing the Soviets
would welcome more than a
PLO state and a debilitated
Israel.
Connally,
however,
seems to endorse the idea of
a PLO state (the PLO has
endorsed him). Perhaps he
accepts the specious argu-
ment that "they'll be so busy
building a nation they won't
have time for anything
else." He may believe that a
PLO state would "pacify"
the entire Middle East,
rather than become a ter-
rorist dagger pointed in
turn at Israel, Jordan.
Saudi Arabia. Qaddafi,
Khomeini, and Castro have
not exactly been kept so
busy setting up depart-
ments of sanitation or re-
voking liquor licenses that
they haven't had time to de-
vastate American interests.
If there is one thing worse
than immoral realpolitik, it
is self-defeating immoral
realpolitik. Connally's
"plan" would help the Arab
scorpion sting the Israeli
frog; and the frog, and the
scorpion and we would all
drown. His "plan" is, as the
French say, worse than a
crime. It is a blunder.
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