Detroit Population Lag Predicted, With Suburban Families Outnumbering City 23,000 to 3,100 in 1975 Hotchner Writes Hemingway Book "Papa Hemingway" by A. E. Hotchner (Random House) is a revealing document. It is literary history as much as it is the story of Hemingway by the man who was so close to him, who had worked with him and knew his private life as much perhaps as anyone. He tells a b out Hemingway's habits, his loves, his prejudices, and he describes his literary at- tainments. Mary Hemingway tried to cover up when Hemingway shot himself. She called it an accident. Hoteh- ner is not blaming her. He puts it in the form of questions: "What difference does truth make about a thing like that? Does truth bring back anything? Or assuage the torment?" Then the author reminisces: "I found myself remembering a question from the interminable in- terview years before with the Ger- man journalist at the Felipe II. He had asked: 'Herr Hemingway, can you sum up your feelings about death' And Ernest had answered: `Yes-just another whore.' " Hotchner has written a most in- teresting book about Ernest Hem- between 1970 and 1975 "the yearly number of births will almost (Continued from Page 1) double." He states: The report. declares that it is "highly unlikely" that this movement "If we assume that the present highly regular pattern of fertility can be reversed, that: which presently exists will continue to be about the same on the "It can be 'slowed up a little by concerted and conscious efforts to average for the next 15 years we can make a fairly accurate prediction preserve the Northwest area; but the ultimate result is virtually of births in the Detroit Jewish community between now and 1980. certain. The reason for this positive statement can be found in an Naturally the future may bring forth changes not now foreseeable. -examination of the American value system. Moving to a new neigh- However, by periodic review the forecasts can be revised as changing borhood is considered desirable by the vast majority of Americans. circumstances dictate." In other words, households (Jewish, Gentile, Negro, White) all move His projection of births in the Detroit Jewish community in the periodically. The average family moves about once every seven years. years 1970-1980 is contained in the following table: The Detroit Jewish community, at least that part which has not Average Yearly No. Births Number of Women already moved to the suburbs, is now backed up to the northern Fertility boundary of Detroit, and seemingly can go in only one direction 1965-70 1970-75 1975-80 Rate 1970 1975 1980 Age -out." 26 7.0 28 29 4,005 4,129 3,755 15-19 Pointing to Dexter which has all but disappeared as a Jewish 20-24 165.2 419 730 682 2,536 4,421 4,129 -community, joining Twelfth Street, Oakland and Hastings as an area 25-29 1,004 227.0 353 909 1,557 4,005 4,421 "where Jews once lived," Dr. Mayer reports that Seven Mile East of 30-34 69.6 166 177 279 2,383 2,536 4,005 Meyers suffered a loss of 16 per cent-1,200 households-during the 35-39 73 28.6 83 45 2,933 1,557 2,536 1963-65 period; that Seven Mile West of Meyers lost only 400 families 40-44 6 2,933 2,383 1,557 3.8 11 9 -6 per cent-and that the losses therefore were principally in the eastern portion of the community. Oak Park gained 800 families; By JESSE SILVER Southfield 700 households; New Suburbs (principally Birmingham- (Copyright, 1966, . JTA, Inc.) Bloomfield), 300; Huntington Woods, 200. Mike Epstein, the big Baltimore you consider this is only his sec- The vast changes that have taken place in the 16 years since Dr. ond season in organized baseball. Mayer began to make geographic studies for the Jewish Welfare Oriole first baseman, got his first "I'm in a hurry," said Epstein, hit against major league pitching Federation are described as follows: and became the talk of spring "I didn't get started in pro ball "In 1949, our first year of record, only a scattered handful of training. The blow, a triple against until I was 21. If I was only 18, Jewish families lived in the suburbs. Dexter contained half of the the Yankees, carried 400 feet and I could wait. But I'm in a hurry." Jewish households, Twelfth Street contained an appreciable pro- hit the centerfield wall. "He'll make a million dollars portion of the population; and the Northwest area was newly grow- if he makes it as a big leaguer," ingway. In Epstein's case the baseball ing. Of interest also, was the fact that almost one in eight Jewish predicted the Oriole's executive Who knows not how to flatter, families lived in scattered areas away from the major areas of writers didn't have to dig much vice-presidents. "He has power. Jewish concentration. In only 16 years the following things have for a story. Epstein likes to talk. He has a wonderful attitude. He's knows not how to talk. - Italian happened: Twelfth Street, as a Jewish area, is gone and forgotten. They discovered that he had colorful. And he'll have a devoted proverb. picked up a few nicknames in the following. He's a Jew." The Dexter area no longer can be considered to contain more than THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS a trace of Jewish households. The Northwest area (at least the California League last year. One Milton Stark of Baltimore, Md., 8-Friday, April 8, 1966 of the opposing - managers had eastern half) has gone from youth to middle age to decline. Places hung "Super Jew" on him while who produces documentary films whose names were not even known to most Jewish persons in 1949 another nickname was The Kosher for the United States Olympic have become 'marked' as Jewish sub-communities." IF YOU TURN THE Sequoia (because he's from Cali- Committee reports that his first 4117 • CI • ( 1 Does urban renewal offer hope for retention of Detroit as a fornia). Epstein is working on a film "Hold High the Torch" has M I Jewish population area? Dr. Mayer states: degree in social psychology, so been seen by 90 million people. UPSIDE DOWN YOU WON'T "At present there is little housing built or planned under either one writer called him "a combina- His current film "The World is FIND A FINER WINE THAN private or urban renewal sponsored auspices that will attract any tion lefthanded Hank Greenberg One," which has just been re- leased, has had 14 million viewers large number of Jewish households, particularly those with children. and Sigmund Freud." thus far. Stark, a former presi- Chances are that within the next decade some spot in the central city "I thought his calling me Super dent of the Har Sinai Brother- -probably near the river-will form an apartment residential nucleus Jew was funny," said Epstein, hood in Baltimore will also cover for older families without children. Jewish families with children "but when my father read it, he the coming Pan -American and Milian Wineries, Detroit, Mich. . will continue to leave the city during the next decade mostly because wondered about being limited to Olympic Gaines. the pendulum has swung :too far. As a consequence, most Jewish a certain group. I told him I families with children live Outside the city already. The remaining thought it was very complimentary and didn't mind." families with children will undoubtedly join them." He adds that the "return to the central city" movement in the Epstein doesn't figure to make Detroit Jewish community "is fancy not fact." He reports that during the Orioles this trip. He will prob- Offers the movement toward the suburbs "only one household `returned' to ably wind up at Rochester which is - Triple A ball. Not bad when vir THE FINEST DEAL the city." Dr. Mayer's study goes ;Tito considerable detail in describing the V THE FINEST SERVICE • method pursued in conducting the study, the intentions that are Come See for Yourself at expressed by those intending to move and those who do not and the Property in Israel ultimate results. Studies of future mobility trends will be continued, For Sale the report states. Another aspect of the Mayer report is the fertility of the • 4 Large Rooms, Terrace, over Detroit Jewish community and the projection of future births. dunam beautiful garden with Dr. Mayer reports that the level of fertility remained at the same fruit trees. Near Petach Tikvah. level from 1953 to 1964. While the number of births dropped from 20735 GRAND RIVER Phone DI 1-6024 Between 6 Mile & Evergreen 1,556 in 1953 to 961 in 1964, Dr. Mayer states: Minutes From "Detroit's Jewish women have not reduced their rate of child KE 2-7500 8:30 P.M. Oak Park & Southfield After bearing at all. All of the loss in number of children is due to a smaller number of potential mothers in the child bearing years. This is a crucial fact in understanding the future. If the present level of fertility continues, as soon as there are more women in the child bearing years, the number of Jewish babies born in Detroit will rise again. The exact dimensions of this will be explored later but it is comforting to realize that the 'facts' as seen, if only the number of births are considered, are not really facts at all. Birth rates in the Detroit Jewish community are really quite stable." Comparing the Detroit Jewish community's figures with those of the total White population of the United States, Dr. Mayer shows the Detroit Jewish rate to be 74 per cent of the total, as indicated in this DUNLOP 4 PLY IMPORT QUALITY table in his study: COSTS LESS AND IS BETTER. THAN TOTAL FERTILITY RATE DETROIT JEWISH COMMUNITY AND WHITE POPULATION UNITED STATES: 1953.1964 2 PLY-SAFETY TESTED AT 100 M.P.H. Detroit Jewish Rate U.S. Detroit as Percent White -WHOLESALE PRICES TO YOU. Jewish of U.S:White Rate Rate Rate Year '78 3,263 WE NEED THE TIRES ON YOUR CAR . 2,559 1953 70 3,3'72 2,363 1954 REGARDLESS OF CONDITION ! '78 3,435 2,682 1955 '73 3,532 2,594 1956 SPORTS AND IMPORT CAR OWNERS .. . '76 3,611 2,730 1957 MAKE JOE STAMELL SQUIRM, TOO! 69 3,547 2,455 1958 69 3,553 2,464 1959 AL STUTZ - FRIENDLY SENIOR PARTNER '70 3,531 2,488 1960 '71 3,496 2,476 1961 (HAVE "RACHMONIS") • 78 3,343 2,597 1962 80 3,198 2,561 1963 3140 Grand River 2,511 1964 (Next to Carl's Chop House) '74% 3,444 2,540 Average Detroit - Phone 321-1234 WHEEL ALIGNMENT SPECIALISTS As a prediction for the future, Dr. Mayer states that births between now and 1970 will be slightly higher-1,100 per year-and Sports Oddities IRV KATZ ARGAIN HUNTERS ... "Make us squirm during our Haggle Sale" UNION TIRE CO. JEWISH NATIONAL FUND OFFICE HOURS: MON. THRU THURS., 9 TO 5; FRIDAY, 9-4; SUNDAY, 10 A.M. to 1 P.M.